el-erian@pimco: germany in a lose-lose situation


liquidity versus solvency: nos amis ricains ne nous ont-ils pas déjà
fait le coup récemment? au moins eux n’ont pas posé un ultimatum à 2013
pour que leurs banques finissent de cicatriser grâce à une courbe des
taux superbement raide et à quelques pansements comptables  



http://www.pimco.com/Pages/GermanyinaLose-LoseSituation.aspx

  • The problem
    is that the current approach – centred on dealing with liquidity
    problems now and solvency issues later – is not working.
  • A liquidity
    approach that delays the day of reckoning may be good regional
    politics, but it’s bad economics. It does not restore sustainable
    growth to the periphery, and it exposes the core to contamination.
  • Rather than
    simply doubling up on a faltering liquidity approach, the time has come
    for Germany to lead a more holistic solution focused on addressing the
    periphery’s debt overhang and competitiveness problems.

This is not the first
time that Germany faces such a dilemma. After the fall of the Berlin
wall, West Germany judged that good politics trumped bad economics, and
agreed to reunify with much-weaker East Germany at a one-to-one exchange
rate. It took years to overcome the costs of this decision.

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bookstaber @f: nobody wants to take the step of doing something about an outsized risk because that’s costly

— bookstaber le nouveau régulateur, souhaitons-lui bonne chance,  le système financier s’en porterait mieux! http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2010/12/23/is-the-sec-fighting-last-years-war/

What is the hardest part of securities regulation?

If you find a valve in a nuclear power plant that isn’t working right and replace it, the valve is not going to try to fool you into thinking it’s on when it’s really off. In the market, traders will try to fool you. In other words, there’s a realm of feedback and gaming that can occur in the financial markets that doesn’t occur in an engineering system. That makes developing rules much more difficult for Wall Street than for safety in engineering.

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draghi @ft: survival of euro not in question

— comme le dit draghi: "sov debt repricing is natural and welcome, but overshooting can create permanent damage to monetary policy transmission channels"  http://video.ft.com/v/704855941001/Draghi-survival-of-euro-not-in-question-

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stewart @tds: printing money, to the point our money is committing suicide ;)

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patullo @iw: european QE and haircuts

— description des interventions de la banque centrale européenne sur le marché pour supporter les dettes souveraines et punir les spéculateurs. —


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visualizer @wb: world development indicators

— une autre course que celle à la dévaluation, celle au développement! http://devdata.worldbank.org/DataVisualizer/

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